Free-to-play, logic-weighted prediction markets and debates. Predict, argue, and climb the leaderboard. No money needed.

Explore

Markets
Debates
Live
Leaderboard

Community

Find people
Ideas
Shop

Learn

Blog
About

Company

Send feedback
Report a bug
Privacy Policy
Terms of Service

Play money only. No real-money wagering.

Ravioli

Debates Markets Portfolio Ideas Shop

Will Campi Flegrei experience an eruption by June 20, 2026? | Ravioli

Markets / e408fac7...

Will Campi Flegrei experience an eruption by June 20, 2026?

News

Will Campi Flegrei experience an eruption by June 20, 2026?

Price50¢/share

Fee1¢

You spend10¢

If correct19¢ (+9¢)

About this market

This market resolves to Yes if a volcanic eruption occurs at Campi Flegrei, the volcanic caldera near Naples, by the close of June 20, 2026. Updated geological studies suggest a transition may occur within the next decade.

Rules

Market closes at 6/20/2026.
Logic weighted resolution applies.

Other open markets in Science

Will live human artificial embryos successfully show development in space by July 31, 2026?

55% chance

Will research confirm that Nereid is a leftover moon from Neptune's formation by July 31, 2026?

55% chance

Will researchers detect dark matter particles using the new quantum sensor by July 31, 2026?

30% chance

Will new evidence emerge supporting Neanderthals as early dentists by June 30, 2026?

40% chance

Will a new classification for the 'alien' crystal found in trinitite be officially recognized by July 31, 2026?

55% chance

Will researchers develop a large-scale application using silk-based materials for 6G networks by August 1, 2026?

30% chance

View all Science markets →