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This market resolves to Yes if the global online grocery market grows by at least 10% in 2027 according to the reports from major market research firms such as Statista, Euromonitor, or equivalent. Official reports typically provide growth rates based on the comparison of gross merchandise volume or total sales from one fiscal year to another.

70% chance

This market resolves to Yes if Ukraine receives additional Patriot missile interceptors from the U.S. by October 15, 2026. Confirmation should be from an official U.S. or Ukrainian government statement or credible news source.

60% chance
Markets

Will the Iran conflict end by May 31, 2026?

Yes0%No0%
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About this market

This market resolves to Yes if an official agreement or ceasefire is reached and publicly acknowledged by the United States and Iran, ending active combat operations by both countries by the end of May 31, 2026. Official statements from either government's defense or foreign affairs ministries or recognized international organizations will be used for confirmation.

Rules

  • Market closes at 5/31/2026.
  • Logic weighted resolution applies.