Ravioli, Prediction Markets & Debates

Politics

Will Debbie Wasserman Schultz win the Democratic primary for Florida's 20th district?

60% chanceup 14%
Yes1.67x60%
No2.50x40%
62K volEnds Aug 26
Yes60%No40%
0%25%50%75%100%

Active Markets

This market resolves to Yes if the Australian government or a major recognized scientific organization in Australia publishes an official report acknowledging the contributions of citizen scientists by August 22, 2026.

60% chance
Premier League
Soccer
Premier League

Hull City vs Manchester United

Aug 22 @ 1:40 PM

Ends Aug 22
K
KCON USA35%
M
Midsummer Scream25%
O
Outside Lands20%
C
Cat Video Film Festival15%
Other5%
5 outcomes

NFL Preseason Week 3 - Washington Commanders at Detroit Lions Kickoff: 2026-08-22T16:00:00.000Z [NFLGame:401873601]

VS
50% chance

This market resolves to Yes if official charges are filed against any individuals involved in the violent incident at the Maui resort by August 30, 2026. Confirmation must come from a credible news source or official legal documentation.

60% chance

MLB - Toronto Blue Jays (59-64) at New York Yankees (68-53) First Pitch: 2026-08-22T17:35:00.000Z [MLBGame:823509]

VS
42% chance

This market resolves to Yes if, by August 30, 2026, there is a publicly announced ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine reported by at least two major international news outlets (e.g., AP News, BBC, Reuters). This includes any temporary or conditional ceasefire agreements covering all or part of the conflict area. If no such announcement is made by this date, the market resolves to No.

42% chance

MLB - Atlanta Braves (73-48) at Milwaukee Brewers (75-47) First Pitch: 2026-08-22T18:10:00.000Z [MLBGame:823743]

VS
56% chance

Will traffic through the Strait of Hormuz resume by August 31, 2026?

40%chance 2 today
Ends Aug 31

This market resolves to Yes if, by August 31, 2026, a publicly verifiable announcement is made that ChatGPT or another generative AI tool officially replaces a major Wall Street firm analyst role (e.g., research analyst or similar position) as a core component of their service delivery. Public announcements must come from the firm itself or credible financial/technology media outlets. Speculative opinion pieces or unverified reports will not count for resolution.

58% chance

This market resolves to Yes if NASA's Artemis II mission confirms the presence of water ice on the Moon by using its lunar reconnaissance equipment, with official confirmation by NASA through their website or press release by August 31, 2026.

71% chance

Showing 1-24 of 772 markets